KEY POINTS
- A complex storm system traveling from the West Coast may impact the Northeast this weekend.
- Forecasting models present two scenarios that will determine whether coastal cities see rain or wintry mix.
- High-risk zones for ice and snow currently include the Ohio Valley and interior Northeastern regions.
Meteorologists are closely monitoring a weather system currently bringing rain and mountain snow to California. This storm will shift across the country throughout the week. By the weekend, its path will determine the intensity of winter weather for the Northeast. Experts are analyzing two potential outcomes as the system nears the Atlantic coast.
The first scenario suggests the storm may follow a direct eastward track. In this case, the heaviest moisture would stay across the Southern states. This would result in drenching rain and thunderstorms for the Southeast through Monday. Coastal regions in the mid-Atlantic might see light rain or wet snow under this model. Major cities like New York and Boston would remain largely unaffected.
The second scenario involves the storm turning northward upon reaching the Appalachians. A shift in steering winds could pull moisture into the Ohio Valley and the interior Northeast. Although recent temperatures have warmed slightly, enough cold air remains to support wintry precipitation. This outcome would bring a mix of snow, ice, and rain to a broader area.
Predicting the exact type of precipitation remains a challenge for coastal regions. Cities along the I-95 corridor may see mostly rain if temperatures stay above freezing. However, the presence of existing snowpack can often keep ground-level air colder than expected. This environmental factor increases the risk of dangerous ice formation during the start of the event.
The interior Northeast and the Ohio Valley face the highest probability of snow. Even if the storm takes a more northerly turn, its total reach is still uncertain. Forecasters expect more clarity once the system clears the Rocky Mountains. Until then, the probability for both major scenarios remains roughly equal.
Southern states can expect impactful weather regardless of the northern track. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are likely across the south-central United States. As the system moves toward the Carolinas, it will eventually exit into the Atlantic. This exit point is critical for determining how much moisture reaches New England.
The current winter pattern has already been relentless for many Americans. Energy demands remain high as residents keep their homes warm during these fluctuations. Local authorities recommend staying updated on the latest forecast changes before the weekend begins. Travel plans for the upcoming holiday may need adjustment depending on the storm’s final trajectory.
The next few days will provide the data needed to confirm a final path. For now, the Northeast stays in a period of watchful waiting. Residents should prepare for potential ice or snow if the northern scenario gains momentum.
