ASML Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates as AI Demand Bolsters Orders

ASML Q3 bookings beat estimates, but China demand outlook dims.

ASML reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, driven by ongoing demand for chip making tools used in AI systems. 

  • Net bookings reached €5.40 billion, slightly above expectations. 
  • Net income came in at €2.12 billion, aligning with projections. 
  • Total net sales were €7.5 billion, with a gross margin of 51.6%

The firm’s CEO, Christophe Fouquet, said ASML continues to ride momentum from AI-driven investments across logic and memory chip sectors. 

However, ASML issued a more cautious warning about China. It expects a significant drop in Chinese demand in 2026 — a key concern since China accounted for nearly a third of tool sales this year. 

Despite the China headwind, ASML projects flat or slightly higher total net sales in 2026. Its Q4 forecast calls for €9.2–€9.8 billion in sales and a margin between 51%–53%

Analysts see the results as a mixed outcome: beat in the short term, but tempered by medium-term uncertainty in China. The report underscores how AI investment underpins demand, even in volatile macro conditions.